Other differentiated opinions wanted:
A friend showed me this and treats it like a prophecy. I’m rather skeptical. To me seems like somebody tries to fuel the AI hype with this text or is completely drunk with AI. It also fuels the China-US who-is-better-fight and the authors thoughts seem to circle too much around the US president, IMO.
But I don’t understand much of this machine-learning stuff. So maybe it’s me being ignorant. Still, to me reads like science fiction. How about you?
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I can’t take made up curves seriously
Thanks, I do want to read that as I do not believe the current developments in AI to be hype, I think it is probably an inflection point in our civilisation. More even than that really, I think in a universal way an argument could be made the point of organic intelligence is to bring about inorganic intelligence. But it is an afternoon read and I have to find an afternoon.
Like all technology, the development times get shorter and shorter. No one can predict the future and specific dates are meaningless, but it is plausible that, stumbles aside, AI achieves superintelligence in the very near future. My gut says sooner than later with 90% probability by 2040. <-remember I said dates are meaningless. ;)
The world is not ready for it. It will be more destructive than constructive. May god have mercy on us all. I hope I am wrong.