Archived version

In 1980, white people accounted for about 80 percent of the U.S. population.

In 2024, white people account for about 58 percent of the U.S. population.

Trump appeals to white people gripped by demographic hysteria. Especially older white people who grew up when white people represented a much larger share of the population. They fear becoming a minority.

While the Census Bureau says there are still 195 million white people in America and that they are still the majority, the white population actually declined slightly in 2023, and experts believe that they will become a minority sometime between 2040 and 2050.

Every component of the Trump-Republican agenda flows from these demographic fears.

The Trump phenomenon and the surge of right-wing extremism in America was never about economic anxiety, as too many political reporters claimed during the 2016 presidential campaign.

It was, and still is, about race and racism.

  • t3rmit3@beehaw.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    7
    arrow-down
    1
    Ā·
    edit-2
    4 months ago

    First off, itā€™s certainly possible that everyone in their family absolutely does love their interracial kids, but itā€™s also very possible they donā€™t; that is a dynamic Iā€™d need to see to know. Behind closed doors, people change.

    But either way, that would still be anecdotal, and not prove or disprove the tracked and statistically-validated rise in racist rhetoric in conservative spaces online, in conservative candidate platforms, in conservative legislatorsā€™ bills, etc etc etc.

    but itā€™s not racism, itā€™s in more ways a sort of nostalgia for a time period when life didnā€™t involve so many complex and nuanced topics

    I hate to burst your bubble, but ā€œlife was simpler when white people were 80% of the population, and we didnā€™t have to deal with Black people, we just let the cops do their thing, pre-phone-camerasā€ IS racism, whether they realize that or not. We know what was actually happening to Black people (lynchings, murder, sundown towns, Jim Crow laws used to imprison and enslave, etc). If your argument is, ā€œwell they just donā€™t care to think about that all, they want what was a better society for themselves, even if it was much worse for people of other ethnicitiesā€, then you are acknowledging that they are (whether they realize it or not) making an argument for their (racial) comfort at the expense of othersā€™.

    Ignorance to the harm youā€™re advocating is not an actual defense, and itā€™s highly suspect when itā€™s very readily-known information. Willful ignorance at that level borders on malice (and once again, itā€™s not like the Republican platform isnā€™t absolutely rife with racist rhetoric, so itā€™s not like theyā€™re just in a bubble where race isnā€™t discussed).

    • Greg Clarke@lemmy.ca
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      3
      Ā·
      4 months ago

      the tracked and statistically-validated rise in racist rhetoric in conservative spaces online, in conservative candidate platforms, in conservative legislatorsā€™ bills, etc etc etc.

      While this may be true, it doesnā€™t mean that trump supporters must be bigoted. Remember, America is a two party system. People are often forced to vote for who they disagree with less.

      • t3rmit3@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        6
        Ā·
        edit-2
        4 months ago

        If you ā€œdisagree lessā€ with vocal racists who have personal ties with White Nationalist groupsā€¦ I might have some bad news for you.

        • Greg Clarke@lemmy.ca
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          Ā·
          edit-2
          4 months ago

          Try and be more open minded. The world isnā€™t black and white and the issues that are important to you are not universally the priority for everyone. For instance, imagine if you were an immigrant from a country that was heavily drone attacked by the US. You might make your voting decisions based on the party that bombed your homeland less. The world will make more sense if you can invest time in understanding other people in stead of labelling them.

          • t3rmit3@beehaw.org
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            4
            Ā·
            edit-2
            4 months ago

            Try and be more open minded. The world isnā€™t black and white and the issues that are important to you are not universally important to everyone.

            Obviously I understand this. The problem is, ā€œracism is not important to meā€ is still a position with its own moral implications. Understanding a position does not mean you are alright with it. Not every sincerely-held position is equal. And yes, there are many black-and-white, ā€œred lineā€ positions. Genocide, murder, rape, etc, are not positions that people need to just ā€œallow for differing opinions onā€.

            You might make your voting decisions based on the party that bombed your homeland less.

            Itā€™s funny you brought this up in particular, because Iā€™ve talked before about a friend of mine who is in this position (he is Palestinian, and has lost a lot of family to Israeli- and likely US- weapons). He is anti-US-government, not anti-DNC/GOP (obviously his reaction is not universal to immigrants, but neither would any other given immigrantā€™s reaction be).

            • If he told me that he didnā€™t want to vote at all, I would understand and have no issue with that.
            • If he told me he was going to vote Democrat despite Bidenā€™s complicity, Iā€™d understand that, and it would not affect my opinion of him for better or worse.
            • If he told me he was going to vote Republican because Biden was so pro-Israel, Iā€™d understand the bad logic, and Iā€™d think he was an idiot (and to be clear, I know he doesnā€™t think this).
            • If he told me he wanted to harm Jewish people, Iā€™d understand where that is coming from as an emotional reaction, but I would not be okay with any concrete steps taken towards that (and to be clear, he has never so much as intimated that).

            Understanding a viewpoint does not mean you have to be equally accepting of all possible conclusions stemming from that viewpoint.

            • Greg Clarke@lemmy.ca
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              3
              Ā·
              4 months ago

              The problem is, ā€œracism is not important to meā€ is still a position with its own moral implications.

              Thatā€™s strawmanning my argument. Iā€™m saying that just because someone prioritizes another issue over racism doesnā€™t make them bigoted. And if they believe their priority issues are best addressed by the Republican party or wonā€™t be addressed by the Democrats, it would make sense for them to vote for trump.

              The ā€œall trump supporters are racistsā€ argument comes from echo chambers and is dismissive of peopleā€™s legitimate criticisms of the Democrats. Itā€™s not accurate or useful in creating meaningful discourse.

              • t3rmit3@beehaw.org
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                2
                Ā·
                edit-2
                4 months ago

                Thatā€™s strawmanning my argument. Iā€™m saying that just because someone prioritizes another issue over racism

                Apologies. Please amend my comment to

                The problem is, ā€œracism is not as important to me as some other issueā€ is still a position with its own moral implications.

                Perhaps more technically accurate, but no different in effect.

                And if they believe their priority issues are best addressed by the Republican party or wonā€™t be addressed by the Democrats, it would make sense for them to vote for trump.

                I feel like you think this is a counterpoint, or in disagreement with what I said, but itā€™s not. Itā€™s literally what I said. If your personal economic issues or religious preferences are above the well-being of others in your personal priorities, that is a moral stance that is perfectly valid to criticize. Whether you are ignoring the harms, or simply de-prioritizing them in favor of your preferred benefits, itā€™s the same outcome.

                The ā€œall trump supporters are racistsā€ argument comes from echo chambers

                I would refer you to the first line of my first comment in this post, which said

                itā€™s not saying simply that all Republican voters are racist, itā€™s saying that Trumpism and the surging Christian-Nationalist movement is

                The problem is that some conservatives clearly want to be able to associate with the GOP based on piecemeal parts of their platform without actively opposing those parts they disagree with, and then have the right not to be held accountable in part for the damage that those parts they may or may not agree with do. Thatā€™s not how it works. I voted for Biden, and I have to live with the damage heā€™s done in Gaza and the West Bank. It is 1000% fair to judge me for that complicity. And that wasnā€™t even part of his platform, but I still enabled that.

                Trump is openly, unapologetically racist and sexist. If you choose to associate with him, you do have to own that.

                dismissive of peopleā€™s legitimate criticisms of the Democrats.

                Check my comment history if you think I have any shortage of criticism of the Democratic Party, please. I have no issues with criticism of it.

                I am highly interested in what criticisms from the Right are legitimate, though. The DNC is still a Center-Right party of neoliberal corporatism, even if weā€™re slowly making progress on it.

                Itā€™s not accurate or useful in creating meaningful discourse.

                Frankly, I think weā€™re past the point where we can have that conversation at the national level. All of the routes for that have been under attack for years. No one trusts the other sideā€™s media networks. No one trusts the other sideā€™s politicians. Forums like Beehaw or even Facebook (given the way itā€™s structured) do not have anything even beginning to approach a national scale in their reach.

                Iā€™ve had good results with having these conversations with family members and a friend, but thatā€™s not sufficient to fix what is now truly a social problem.

                • Greg Clarke@lemmy.ca
                  link
                  fedilink
                  English
                  arrow-up
                  2
                  Ā·
                  4 months ago

                  I appreciate this discourse and your thoughtful responses. These kind disagreements are what we need more of. I still disagree that supporting trump necessarily means condoning racism as depending on what issues you prioritize, it may be a case of choosing the lesser of two evils.

                • Mispasted@beehaw.org
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  2
                  Ā·
                  edit-2
                  4 months ago

                  Hi! Iā€™d like to budge in here, because while I think that the discourse youā€™re having is extremely useful, I think youā€™re missing @Greg@lemmy.ca 's point. Iā€™ve spent a few hours considering your discussion so far, and I have a lot to say about it, so bear with me. If at any point I mischaracterize what has been said, please correct me.

                  I believe that Greg was arguing for what Iā€™m going to call ā€œmoderate-ism.ā€ If that name doesnā€™t suit you, feel free to change it. The idea heā€™s trying to convey is complex enough to warrant a name.

                  As some background, I consider myself agnostic, but I have both religious and atheist friends with strong points-of-view. Your discussion was similar in style to the conversations Iā€™ve had with them. I say this to point out that ā€œmoderate-ismā€ is an idea about how to think about ideas, and is beyond any singular ideology.

                  Iā€™d like to start by remaking your argument, move onto what the ā€œmoderate-ismā€ idea is, and then how it applies to your situation. Finally Iā€™ll point out where I think the misunderstandings in your conversation were, and how they are similar to other ā€œmoderatistā€ debates that Iā€™ve had.

                  These are the important points youā€™ve made: (You made a few others, but I think they were ancillary. I do address some of them later).

                  ā€œIf you ā€œdisagree lessā€ with vocal racists who have personal ties with White Nationalist groupsā€¦ I might have some bad news for you.ā€

                  And:

                  ā€œThe problem is, ā€œracism is not as important to me as some other issueā€ is still a position with its own moral implications.ā€

                  As well as:

                  ā€œ[Iā€™m] not saying simply that all Republican voters are racist, [Iā€™m] saying that Trumpism and the surging Christian-Nationalist movement is.ā€

                  So, to more accurately convey your point: (and this is where the ā€œcorrect meā€ part comes in).

                  ā€œTo vote for Trump requires an inherently flawed point of view; itā€™s important for us to be moral people. Voting for Trump would support racism. This would be so morally reprehensible that there is nothing with enough significance to out-weigh it. Therefore, do not vote for Trump.ā€

                  Note that neither I nor Greg are actually arguing for Trump. Weā€™re arguing for moderate-ism. Assuming that there could be a valid point-of-view is different from believing them.

                  Lets boil the situation down more: Imagine we have two candidates running for president, but we only know one thing: One is racist; The other is not. The question is: how many valid points-of-view are there that end in voting for the racist? Your statements imply that there are none, but youā€™re assuming too much. A single point of view is extremely complex, and takes time to digest. If weā€™re talking about the millions of people who will vote for Trump, and their millions of different points-of-view, you certainly canā€™t assume most of them are invalid.

                  To put this in more mathematical terms: Imagine that each point-of-view is a vector. There is a set of point-of-viewā€™s that could be considered valid. We donā€™t know very much about this set, only that itā€™s large. Therefore, to assume that this set of valid points-of-view doesnā€™t contain any which involve voting for Trump, would be to act on knowledge you donā€™t have.

                  The idea is more complicated than it seems at first glance. Itā€™s more than just saying ā€œother points-of-view could be valid.ā€ A better simplification would be: Donā€™t assume that there isnā€™t a valid point-of-view involving ā€˜Xā€™ type of belief. In more humanistic terms Iā€™m saying, donā€™t completely rule out a system of beliefs because thereā€™s a lot you might not understand.

                  The part of your conversation that reeled me in was when Greg made the following statement: ā€œā€¦ Imagine ā€¦ you were an immigrant from a country that was heavily drone attacked by the US. You might make your voting decisions based on the party that bombed your homeland less.ā€ To which you made an argument as to why that specific statement would be incorrect. Gregg then called this rebuttal a straw-man.

                  There was a major misunderstanding here. Greg wasnā€™t actually making that argument. He was simply illustrating that there could be a point-of-view that you havenā€™t considered; One which is also valid. The difficulty of trying to make the argument in that way, and one that Iā€™ve run into frequently, is that neither he nor I know specifically what that point of view is. If we did, we would believe it, or have disproved it. Rather, we assume that a valid point-of-view may exist; Itā€™s possible we just havenā€™t come across it yet.

                  The reason the idea of ā€œmoderate-ismā€ is important, is that it helps a person avoid making broad assumptions about what can and canā€™t be true. I think this is what Greg meant when he said ā€œKeep an open mind,ā€ and ā€œnot everything is black and white.ā€ Moderate-ism also avoids alienating the people in the group you arenā€™t a part of.

                  Ultimately most of us want the same things, we just have different ideaā€™s about how to get there; Believing that is called ā€œgood faith.ā€ Moderate-ism ties in by helping us work together instead of against each other.

                  Based on what youā€™ve already said you may have the following rebuttal:

                  ā€œ[Iā€™m not arguing that their point of view isnā€™t valid, or that to vote for Trump is inherently wrong. Iā€™m simply saying that] Trump is openly, unapologetically racist and sexist. If you choose to associate with him, you do have to own that.ā€

                  Based on the prior discourse, this could be restated: ā€œItā€™s okay to vote for Trump, if you own that you are a morally reprehensible person.ā€ Most people donā€™t want to be morally reprehensible. This is effectively making the same argument as I did (for you) above.

                  (I thought I would have more counter-counter argumentsā€¦)

                  Anyway, I appreciate that youā€™ve made it this far, and your willingness to discuss your opinions. Iā€™m extremely interested in your thoughts on my ā€œessayā€. xD Again, I understand Iā€™m cutting in. Please point out any and all mischaracterizations of your discussion.

                  • t3rmit3@beehaw.org
                    link
                    fedilink
                    arrow-up
                    3
                    Ā·
                    edit-2
                    4 months ago

                    Hi there! I donā€™t mind anyone joining in, itā€™s an open forum. :)

                    I will mostly keep my response devoid of specific political discussion, and focused on ā€œmoderate-ismā€.

                    I understand your point in this regard, and Gregā€™s, but I believe that it as an ideology (if you prefer to think of it as one) is based on several incorrect assumptions on your part, first and foremost being that you are intrinsically assuming I (or anyone else you encounter) am not fully familiar with conservativesā€™ (or whatever opposing groupā€™s) views on these subjects.

                    You are essentially just advocating for giving the benefit of the doubt. That is completely fair. Itā€™s also something Iā€™ve already done, many many times.

                    I would assert that if you do not have a threshold for deciding that your extended good-faith-assumption is not actually correct in a given instance, you do not have a workable ideology, just dangerous apologism. If you (or in this case, Greg) do have a threshold, I think it would be productive or even necessary to state where it lies, so that it can be openly interrogated whether that threshold has been crossed.

                    If weā€™re talking about the millions of people who will vote for Trump, and their millions of different points-of-view, you certainly canā€™t assume most of them are invalid.

                    First off, I am not assuming anything, I am extremely familiar with the points of view of many different groups of conservatives, and have discussed these issues at length with them. And while I understand the knee-jerk emotional reaction that ā€œmillions of people canā€™t be wrongā€, if you step back a moment youā€™ll realize this is not at all true. Millions of people around the world are racist, sexist, imperialist, supremacist, etc. Itā€™s often not their fault, itā€™s just their environment, but that is a reason, not an excuse.

                    I stated several times that I do not believe all Republicans are racist, and I would add that many who are, are not so knowingly. But many are openly racist, and all of them are, whether they like it or not, following an ideology that is being led by a racist. That tends to attract other racists, greatly increasing their concentration, and also normalizes racism among the group, which makes it very easy to be and to be around open racism without realizing it, much less interrogating it. If you are assuming that the ratio of racists must be even across all groups, that is a very incorrect and flawed assumption. Groups make different biases welcome or unwelcome by their own ideologies and actions.

                    Iā€™m a white guy with a very full beard that wears jeans, work boots, and t-shirts. Believe me when I say, I have seen many times, in many places, just how fast the bigotry comes out as soon as itā€™s just people who look like me, and who assume they are safely in fellow (conservative) company.

                    But secondly, why is assuming a group is not bad, more valid than assuming it is? No assumptions should be acted on without verification, so purely from a standpoint of assessing a group, why is the positive starting point only valid? I would argue that you should assume both ways, and see which assumption holds up to the scrutiny of facts better.

                    ā€œIf they actually arenā€™t bad, what am I missing? If I assume an unknown factor is present, does that match the facts?ā€

                    ā€œIf they are actually bad, what would that look like and mean? Does that match the facts?ā€

                    There was a major misunderstanding here. Greg wasnā€™t actually making that argument. He was simply illustrating that there could be a point-of-view that you havenā€™t considered; One which is also valid.

                    Yes, but he was attempting to do it by using an example he assumed I would not have encountered, which was just another an incorrect assumption. Assuming your own ignorance is a useful exercise to a point when it comes to interrogating your own assumptions and viewpoints about another group, but only insofar as you do not have actual evidence to the contrary. Which is what the Intercept article was attempting to demonstrate that we have, about Trumpers.

                    The difficulty of trying to make the argument in that way, and one that Iā€™ve run into frequently, is that neither he nor I know specifically what that point of view is. If we did, we would believe it, or have disproved it. Rather, we assume that a valid point-of-view may exist; Itā€™s possible we just havenā€™t come across it yet.

                    Sure. But once again, what is your threshold for finally saying, ā€œokay, yes, this is a bad groupā€? You canā€™t just keep assuming that everyone is only good, otherwise youā€™re just serving to cover for bad people.

                    Moderate-ism also avoids alienating the people in the group you arenā€™t a part of.

                    Which is good, unless they are part of a group that should in fact be alienated. My impression from your comment is that you do not actually have a set methodology or threshold for determining whether a group is that.

                    To loop back to something I said earlier, itā€™s very useful to assume your own ignorance when interrogating your biases and beliefs.

                    Itā€™s not very useful to assume the ignorance of others, except to quash or dismiss criticism, which is what I see Greg as doing (though perhaps not intentionally).

    • Dark ArcA
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      3
      Ā·
      edit-2
      4 months ago

      First off, itā€™s certainly possible that everyone in their family absolutely does love their interracial kids, but itā€™s also very possible they donā€™t; that is a dynamic Iā€™d need to see to know. Behind closed doors, people change.

      Yeah, Iā€™m done, youā€™re blocked. You donā€™t get to tell me about my own family.

      EDIT (for anyone else that actually wants to engage in good faith): Furthermore, yearning for the effects of a time period doesnā€™t mean youā€™re in favor of the effects that caused that time period. Someone saying ā€œI miss when gas was cheapā€ doesnā€™t mean ā€œthey miss exploiting and bullying people internationally to get the cheapest possible oilā€ ā€¦ they just want their cheap gas (and thatā€™s assuming what you miss is even directly related to the other thing, you can, e.g., miss how there used to be more drive-ins in the 60s while acknowledging itā€™s great that we got rid of leaded gas).

      Trumpā€™s a conman, he wonā€™t give them what they feel theyā€™ve lost back; but they believe he will. This doesnā€™t equate to middle America being filled with racist. You canā€™t write off an entire time period as exclusively being good for some people because it was bad for others. People can (as an example) like things about the 50s and 60s without liking Jim Crow.

      • t3rmit3@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        7
        Ā·
        edit-2
        4 months ago

        Furthermore, yearning for the effects of a time period doesnā€™t mean youā€™re in favor of the effects that caused that time period. Someone saying ā€œI miss when gas was cheapā€ doesnā€™t mean ā€œthey miss exploiting and bullying people internationally to get the cheapest possible oilā€ ā€¦ they just want their cheap gas

        The lie here is that you can engage with Republican rhetoric and only see this message. If you watch any Trump speech, he says racist things. The argument that you only care about the gas and house prices still inherently means that youā€™re choosing to ignore the racist stuff, even if you disagree with it personally.

        edit:

        You donā€™t get to tell me about my own family.

        You donā€™t get to turn your family into an argument, but then also decide itā€™s unassailable. Theyā€™re not your ā€œinstant winā€ button against racism in the GOP.

      • jarfil@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        4
        Ā·
        4 months ago

        Suggestion: donā€™t use your family when discussing politics.

        There are also, as they say, five levels of ā€œtruthā€ to any person:

        • Public: the persona they project outwards
        • Private: what they say when ā€œno one is listeningā€
        • Intimate: what they only let their closest family know
        • Secret: what they donā€™t tell anyone
        • Subjacent: what they donā€™t even realize about themselves

        You may or may not know their secret thoughts, and you usually need to spend a lot of time with them (years, decades) to learn about why they hold them.

        And following my initial suggestion, I wonā€™t tell you how I confirmed this to be true.

        • Dark ArcA
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          Ā·
          edit-2
          4 months ago

          I know you mean well, but itā€™s fine to discuss your family at a level you feel comfortable. Your family is part of your experience in the world and that is fundamentally a part of your political perspective.

          Itā€™s not my problem that some people on the Internet want to insist theyā€™re the expert on everything, even people, people theyā€™ve never met.

          When it comes to people, we should all try and keep an open mind about what perspectives might exist. These narratives that people are so divided, that Republicans are racist, greedy, and narcissistic, and that Democrats are handout seeking, weak, and naive ā€¦ they need to be challenged (and first hand testimony is important but often seriously lacking).

          If weā€™re just going to deny another personā€™s experiences are real anytime they donā€™t align with our world view ā€¦ whatā€™s the point of even being on a forum?