I think it’s more likely a compound sigmoid (don’t Google that). LLMs are composed of distinct technologies working together. As we’ve reached the inflection point of the scaling for one, we’ve pivoted implementations to get back on track. Notably, context windows are no longer an issue. But the most recent pivot came just this week, allowing for a huge jump in performance. There are more promising stepping stones coming into view. Is the exponential curve just a series of sigmoids stacked too close together? In any case, the article’s correct - just adding more compute to the same exact implementation hasn’t enabled scaling exponentially.

There used to be very real hardware reasons that upload had much lower bandwidth. I have no idea if there still are.

Remember that Mythbusters (Episode 61 Deadly Straw) that re-created Cleve Backster’s primary perception experiments to show plants can sense malicious intent and totally re-created his results? I had to re-watch it to make sure I was remembering correctly. They totally just alter the experiment until they break it, then sweep it under the rug and call it busted. Totally.

Ditto, I was about to start waxing poetic about my bard.

I’m not right because I want to be. It’d be nice if I were wrong! I’ve been actively seeking out open conversations focused on understanding opposing perspectives since before the Internet existed. The things I am certain of are few and far between, and this particular certainty was hard-earned over decades of exploration and introspection. It really just comes down to this. Do you believe that some things are true, as in not a matter of perspective? Do you believe those things can be understood?

Yup, you’ve got me all figured out after this one exchange. Now that I’m nicely in this box, feel free to store it wherever makes you comfy.

Accelerationism is a helluva drug. Hey, at least we’ll get unfettered corpo AI, haha.

If someone requires dispropprtionate convincing to do the obviously right thing, I do hold them responsible for being wilfully ignorant, yes.

Grocery costs will continue to go up, because climate change has disrupted food production and distribution (among other things.) We could make prices fall artificially, but the actual cost is higher. And anything we do to change that must be paid in more externalities. Americans don’t want to have the hard conversations. We want pleasant half- truths and lies. That’s what we elected.

No. Y’all did this exact same mental gymnastics routine in '16. We elected a senile con man instead of a qualified woman because America has a deeply rooted misogyny problem. That’s all. Well, that and because pressures from climate change have made people afraid and easier to con.

I find all of this Monday morning quarterbacking pretty silly. Trump was literally fellating the mic and rambling incoherently a few days before the vote. “Strategy,” hahah. Nothing Kamala’s campaign coulda done was gonna get those 15 million people that chose not to vote, if simply listening to Trump didn’t.

https://www.unitree.com/g1

Yeah, but they encourage confining it to a virtual machine with limited access.

Huh. Grandpa Simpson was right. It did happen to me too.

Logic and Path-finding?

Shithole country.

Yeah, using image recognition on a screenshot of the desktop and directing a mouse around the screen with coordinates is definitely an intermediate implementation. Open Interpreter, Shell-GPT, LLM-Shell, and DemandGen make a little more sense to me for anything that can currently be done from a CLI, but I’ve never actually tested em.

I was watching users test this out and am generally impressed. At one point, Claude tried to open Firefox, but it was not responding. So it killed the process from the console and restarted. A small thing, but not something I would have expected it to overcome this early. It’s clearly not ready for prime time (by their repeated warnings), but I’m happy to see these capabilities finally making it to a foundation model’s API. It’ll be interesting to see how much remains of GUIs (or high level programming languages for that matter) if/when AI can reliably translate common language to hardware behavior.

Aren’t they in Macy’s now? Wait, is Macy’s still a thing?